Sports betting news and notes: Oddsmakers not loving Indiana’s college hoops teams

Bet BetIndiana News staff

The college basketball season tips off Tuesday, November 5, but the outlook isn’t bright for the programs of the Hoosier State.

Ranked No. 23 in the preseason AP poll, Purdue provides the state the most hope for success. At 14/1 odds to win the Big Ten, however, the Boilermakers are a distant sixth on the conference futures board, a canyon away from even-money favorite Michigan State and also below Maryland (7/2), Ohio State (7/1), Michigan (10/1) and Minnesota (12/1).

Purdue loses key pieces Carsen Edwards and Ryan Kline, but juniors Nojel Eastern and Matt Haarms return to the starting lineup for coach Matt Painter’s team. The Boilermakers have been a model of consistency, finishing top-10 on KenPom’s end-of-season rankings in three of the last four years.

Indiana, meanwhile, is tied with Iowa and Wisconsin as the seventh betting choices to win the conference at 25/1 odds.
The Hoosiers lose their top two scorers from last season in Romeo Langford and Juwan Morgan, who both bolted for the NBA. Expect coach Archie Miller’s squad to take a step back offensively, but also stamp itself as one of the conference’s premier defensive teams. Bettors should monitor the development of freshman Trayce Jackson-Davis, who is set to emerge as one of the Big Ten’s top newcomers

The season win total market offers the Boilers at over/under 20.5 wins and the Hoosiers at 18.

Elsewhere around the state, Notre Dame returns 89% of its minutes (10th most in Div. I) but is a huge longshot in the ACC, priced at 50/1 odds to win the conference, far behind usual suspects Duke and North Carolina. Butler is 14/1 to be crowned Big East champs, seventh in the nine-team conference, where Villanova is the 3/2 favorite.
--Marcus DiNitto and Mike Roselli

Also read: Big Ten betting primer | Odds to win 2020 NCAA Tournament

On the college gridiron

After a 45-17 defeat at Michigan, Notre Dame (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) is a 17.5-point favorite over Virginia Tech (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS) for their Week 10 clash, bet up from an opening line of -16.  The Hokies, coming off a bye, have caught more than two touchdowns on the oddsboard just once in the last 15 years, a 35-10 defeat as 21-point underdogs to then-No. 1 Alabama in the 2013 Chick-Fil-A Kickoff Game.

Indiana (6-2 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) is laying 12.5 points to visiting Northwestern (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) following one of its biggest wins in recent memory. The Hoosiers notched their third-straight victory, defeating Nebraska 38-31 at sold-out Memorial Stadium as 2-point pups Saturday. The Wildcats are catching points from Indiana for the first time in the last seven head-to-head matchups.

Purdue (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS) is a 2-point home dog to Nebraska (4-4 SU, 1-7 ATS) in Week 10, down from an opening line of +3.5. The Cornhuskers have scored at least 25 points in all six meetings since joining the Big Ten. The Boilermakers are 1-11 SU and 0-12 ATS in their last 12 conference clashes at Ross-Ade Stadium allowing as many points in a contest.
--Eric Dewberry

More: College football Week 10 betting coverage

Colts, Bears on opposite ends of early respect

Early betting action for Week 9 moved the lines toward the Colts and against the Bears.

Indy is a 1-point road favorite against the Steelers, while Chicago is a 5-point road dog in Philadelphia as it looks to avenge last season’s wild-card loss, according to the betting market’s early consensus lines.

Coming off an Adam Vinatieri 51-yard field goal with 22 seconds remaining for a narrow 15-13 win over the Broncos, the Colts opened pick ‘em for their trip to Pittsburgh, but early wagering moved the line in favor of Indy (5-2 straight up, 4-2-1 against the spread) by 1 point. The Colts, co-favorites with the Texans to win the AFC South, have laid points on the road just six times since the start of the 2015 season, going 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Should the spread hold, next Sunday’s contest in Pittsburgh will be the first time this season the Colts have been favored on the road.

The Bears-Eagles point spread, meanwhile, has bounced between Philadelphia -4.5 and -5 during the first two days of wagering, moving off the key number of Philly -3 on last week’s advanced lines in Las Vegas. With a 17-16 loss to the Chargers as 3.5-point home favorites, the Bears dropped to 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS on Sunday, and their latest inept offensive performance has resulted in deeper disrespect from the betting market.

While Bears fans want to see quarterback Mitch Trubisky benched, he faces a positive matchup with a leaky Eagles secondary in Week 9. Philadelphia (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) is coming off an impressive 31-13 road win as a 1-point underdog against the Bills in which it out-rushed Buffalo 218-98. The Eagles boast one of the best run defenses in the league, but they also held Bills QB Josh Allen to just 16-of-34 passing for 169 yards. Trubisky, who ranks slightly higher than Allen in adjusted QBR, must have a better day passing if Chicago is to avenge last season’s “double-doink”.
--Joe Rodgers

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Posted on 2019 Oct 29